Week 5 sleepers: Jameis Winston and Michael Penix Jr.

Winston could exploit Washington’s downfield defense

The NFL column describes Winston as a high-risk, aggressive passer through his first three games. According to statistics credited in the article to Next Gen Stats, he averaged 9.3 air yards per attempt, eighth in the league, and had a 15.4% deep-throw rate, third-highest.

The preview notes that Washington ranked among the bottom three teams in success rate, completion percentage over expected and passer rating on downfield throws. It also says the Commanders were allowing 22.5 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, the third-highest figure in the league at the time of publication.

Those numbers underpin the article’s recommendation to consider Winston, while its description of his passing style also signals the possibility of turnovers.

Penix brings recent efficiency into the Ravens matchup

For Atlanta, the NFL preview points to Penix’s performance since Week 3. Among quarterbacks with at least 45 dropbacks in that span, it reports that he led the group with 10.6 yards per attempt.

The article also places Penix among the top four in success rate, passer rating and expected points added per dropback over that period. It says he had been pressured nine times, the fewest among quarterbacks meeting the dropback threshold, despite facing a 45.7% blitz rate.

Baltimore’s 4.6% sack rate is cited as a matchup factor. The column acknowledges that Atlanta’s running game could account for much of the offense, but still sees potential for Penix to contribute.

Arizona’s backfield remains uncertain

The preview is less certain about Arizona’s running backs Jeremiyah Love and Tyler Allgeier. Love had 21 carries to Allgeier’s two in Week 3, then shared the work more evenly the following week, when Allgeier scored his first touchdown of the season.

The NFL writer expects another committee approach and notes that Love had been dealing with an ankle injury. The article also identifies Detroit’s defensive production as a reason the matchup could still offer fantasy potential for Arizona’s backs.